Posts

We Need To Talk About Adaptation: Losing the Goldilocks Niche For Agriculture.

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1st Posted 22nd December 2025 1st Update 28th December 2025 What happens when crops fail ? People starve, apart from preppers right? What preppers are getting wrong about collapse is climate breakdown. They might have a stockpile of food and a YouTube channel, which makes them recognisable and a target. Desperate people don't care. - This seems very dark. Many of those YouTube Preppers are on the Far-Right, busy praising Donald Trump & Worshipping Billionaires, sending the Money to the various grifters, and fantasising about being an ICE agent, just for the opportunity for racially driven cruelty. Preppers starve eventually, too, but they will be the obviously well-fed among us. Long Pig perhaps? What does AI think? Source https://un-denial.com/2025/11/09/ai-on-collapse/? I think AI has the same optimism as the IPCC and COP30 COPout, the world's biggest polluters trade show. Pushing the eternal growth paradigm as nature is depleted. So wh...

2025- Harvest of Cereals and Oilseed was down 20-25% Due to Drought & Excessive Heat.

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Agricultural Breadbasket failures have a habit of snowballing.  2025- Harvest of Cereals and Oilseed was down 20-25% Just to be clear, none of the preppers even noticed a drought or lack of rain this spring until the government started announcing it.  Climate Change is off the Prepper Agenda , which means forward intel on grain basket failures is not something they are sharing with their followers. But at the same time XR, & people associated with XR like Dr Gail Bradbrook might ne talking about empty supermarket shelves and the only solution she has to offer is Mutual Aid, food banks and ceremonialists. Most UK Preppers Deny Climate Change  and like XReadiness  failures to identify the issues on the horizon. This month the Met Office said that 2025 was on course to be the UK's hottest year since records began, with climate change driving higher temperatures. During 2025 we had several heatwaves. During 1 heatwave there were s...

Beyond 1.5°C The Socio Economic Tipping Points Are Agricultural Collaspe & Food Shortages

"The 1795 food riots are known as the revolt of the housewives, a term coined by John Lawrence Hammond and Barbara Hammond for a series of food riots and disturbances in England in 1795. They arose out of exceptional food scarcity. Women played conspicuous roles in the riots." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Revolt_of_the_housewives The Arab Spring Was A Food Crisis Propagandised by America.  Travis Lupick "Beginning in late 2010, citizens of the Arab world rose up in protest to express their long-held dissatisfactions with their governments. Unstable food security and the recent international food price spikes were certainly one of their many grievances and was likely the factor that sparked the initial unrest, yet the level of unrest greatly varied in intensity throughout the region. Can an analysis of the state of food security in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) be used to explain why the Arab Spring was more vibrant in some countries than in others? To answe...

Approaching Collapse, Just Collapse and the Reassuring Sanity of Understanding Our Predicament.

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It's been a little over 4 years since I first came into contact with Tristan and Kate through their academic Collapsology work on Just Collapse. That was a time when we could consider that we might transition to a post-collapse world without oil.  Approaching Collapse Forum "Life after oil will be like life before oil".  " Those were the days my friend " (Mary Hopkin). Did we really think we could survive a climate extinction event? Maybe, until the data changed. There's a Chinese Curse: "May you live in interesting times", and we do indeed. Tristan, and a few others I could mention, were, early on, labelled as Doomers and villified by Prof Michael Mann. Who then, through his mantra Doomism = Inaction,  spawned a whole band of self-styled climate educator grifters. We observed downward punching by some academics towards anyone who disagreed with their constant messages of hope and optimism for the future. Now we live in a Train wreck. Acceptance of...

Current State Of The Global Climate

The current annual global average temperature is about 1.45-1.55°C above pre-industrial  levels (1850-1900), according to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and other reports for the year 2024 . This makes 2024 the warmest year on record, a trend driven by long-term climate change, which is further influenced by natural factors like the El Niño event that has now passed . 2024 was the w armest year. October 2025 has broken all records. 2024's  record warmth was caused by a combination of long-term warming from greenhouse gases and the influence of a strong El Niño event. While the El Niño is waning and La Niña conditions may return, leading to cooler conditions in the tropical Pacific, the overall trend of warming from greenhouse gases is expected to continue. SOURCES : https://berkeleyearth.org/global-temperature-report-for-2023/ https://wmo.int/media/news/global-temperature-likely-exceed-15degc-above-pre-industrial-level-temporarily-next-5-years-0 https://wmo.int/ne...

Wet Bulb Temperatures

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What are Wet Bulb Temperatures? Wet bulb temperature  measures the combined effect of heat and humidity, representing the lowest temperature achievable by evaporating water into the air .  It is measured using a thermometer with a water-soaked cloth over its bulb, and it always reads lower than or equal to the dry bulb temperature. A higher wet bulb temperature indicates higher humidity, which hinders evaporation and reduces the body's ability to cool itself through sweating. This makes it a critical metric for assessing heat stress on humans and is often higher than the commonly reported heat index. Why Wet Bulb Temperatures are important Humidity and Evaporation :  The wet bulb temperature is essentially a measure of how well water can evaporate into the air. Human Cooling : Our bodies cool through the evaporation of sweat. High wet bulb temperatures mean less evaporation, making it harder to cool down and leading to dangerous heat stress.   Heat Str...